La escuela de los momios

Botafogo v Atletico Goianiense

Inicio: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Final: Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Predicción 38.19%2.62momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.568%
Kelly -0.927%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.60%38.38%38.12%41.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.5845.45%42.01%42.02%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Predicción 29.38%3.40momio equitativo
EV +1.37%
Ventaja +0.397%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.60%29.12%29.47%30.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.173.4533.33%31.14%31.55%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 32.42%3.08momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.50%32.51%32.41%33.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.41%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:55
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -1.46%E -0.568%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 18:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:50
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.51%E -3.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:53
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 18:50
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:54
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%1.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.06%2.0%2026-04-19 18:55