La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Atletico Goianiense

Inizio: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Finale: Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 38.19%2.62quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.568%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.60%38.38%38.12%41.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.382.5845.45%42.01%42.02%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.38%3.40quota equa
EV +1.37%
Vantaggio +0.397%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.60%29.12%29.47%30.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.173.4533.33%31.14%31.55%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.42%3.08quota equa
EV -4.35%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.50%32.51%32.41%33.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.41%35.71%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:55
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -1.46%E -0.568%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 18:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:50
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.51%E -3.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:53
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 18:50
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:54
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%1.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.06%2.0%2026-04-19 18:55