Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Score final : Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo (Local)

Prévision 38.19%2.62cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.568%
Kelly -0.927%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.60%38.38%38.12%41.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.382.382.5845.45%42.01%42.02%38.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.38%3.40cote équitable
EV +1.37%
Avantage +0.397%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.60%29.12%29.47%30.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.173.4533.33%31.14%31.55%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.42%3.08cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.50%32.51%32.41%33.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.41%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo (Local) : 38.19% ; Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur) : 29.38% ; Match nul : 32.42%. Pour Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.40. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +1.37%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -1.46%E -0.568%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 18:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:50
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:50
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.51%E -3.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:53
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:54
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%1.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.06%2.0%2026-04-19 18:55