مدرسة الاحتمالات

Botafogo v Atletico Goianiense

البداية: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Botafogo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.19%2.62السعر العادل
EV -1.46%
الأفضلية -0.568%
Kelly -0.927%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.60%38.38%38.12%41.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.382.382.5845.45%42.01%42.02%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Atletico Goianiense (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.38%3.40السعر العادل
EV +1.37%
الأفضلية +0.397%
Kelly +0.560%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.60%29.12%29.47%30.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.213.173.4533.33%31.14%31.55%28.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.42%3.08السعر العادل
EV -4.35%
الأفضلية -1.47%
Kelly -2.23%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.50%32.51%32.41%33.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.822.802.9537.04%35.41%35.71%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -11.01%E -4.73%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV +1.37%E +0.397%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.81%E -2.79%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -9.86%E -3.55%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 18:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -0.098%E -0.029%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 18:45
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 18:55
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -14.07%E -6.25%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -1.57%E -0.468%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:55
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:45
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -14.83%E -6.65%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -3.04%E -0.920%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 18:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.35%EV -1.46%E -0.568%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -4.51%E -1.39%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -5.32%E -1.82%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 18:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 18:50
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:50
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.88%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.51%E -3.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 18:53
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -6.27%E -1.96%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.42%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -7.59%E -2.66%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 18:50
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.44%E -2.36%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -8.56%E -3.04%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 18:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.43%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.35%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:44
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 18:45
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 37.81%EV -7.58%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:50
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.81%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -12.45%E -4.61%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 18:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 18:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 18:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -12.16%E -5.29%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -8.91%E -2.88%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 18:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -5.97%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 18:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:54
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -9.21%E -3.29%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 18:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -9.48%E -4.00%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.85%E -3.95%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -10.83%E -3.94%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.30%0.5%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.10%1.1%2026-04-19 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.79%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%1.4%2026-04-19 18:55
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.63%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.06%2.0%2026-04-19 18:55