Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botafogo v América Mineiro

2026-08-08 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botafogo (Local)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd
EV -6.62%
Edge -3.68%
Kelly -8.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%51.69%51.88%52.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.771.781.8057.14%56.39%56.18%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Visit)

Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV -6.31%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.91%20.19%20.15%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.474.504.6524.69%22.37%22.22%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.41%28.12%27.98%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.3532.26%30.54%30.30%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -7.32%E -1.59%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.28%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 14:05
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%EV -6.62%E -3.68%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.34%EV -18.40%E -4.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-29 14:05
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -6.31%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.94%EV -7.12%E -2.14%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-29 15:30
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.31%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 14:05
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.66%E -4.30%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -6.31%E -1.36%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-29 14:05
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -8.18%E -4.62%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.33%E -2.07%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.68%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 14:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.35%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-29 14:07
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.35%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.08%E -2.79%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-29 14:20
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.22%E -5.27%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -12.76%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.28%E -4.28%K -6.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-29 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.