默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo v América Mineiro

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 21:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Botafogo (主队)

预测 49.37%2.03公平赔率
EV -5.71%
优势 -2.99%
Kelly -6.27%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
47.81%49.42%49.24%50.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

América Mineiro (客队)

预测 21.28%4.70公平赔率
EV -0.412%
优势 -0.088%
Kelly -0.112%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.68

博彩公司预测分布
20.02%21.25%21.22%23.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.244.304.6826.32%23.57%23.26%21.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.35%3.41公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -0.950%
Kelly -1.36%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.31%29.33%29.54%30.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.08%32.26%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Botafogo (主队):49.37%;América Mineiro (客队):21.28%;平局:29.35%。 对于“América Mineiro (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.70。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为4.68,期望值为-0.412%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 12:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 05:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.412%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -17.01%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.11%E -0.460%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 12:25
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.18%E -0.699%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 04:59
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 04:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 14:03
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 12:28
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-05 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 07:08
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.63%E -6.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42%15.0%2026-08-06 14:05