StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo v América Mineiro

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 21:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 49.37%2.03rättvist odds
EV -5.71%
Fördel -2.99%
Kelly -6.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.81%49.42%49.24%50.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Borta)

Prognos 21.28%4.70rättvist odds
EV -0.412%
Fördel -0.088%
Kelly -0.112%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.68

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.02%21.25%21.22%23.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.804.244.304.6826.32%23.57%23.26%21.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.35%3.41rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -0.950%
Kelly -1.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.31%29.33%29.54%30.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.08%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Botafogo (Hemma): 49.37%; América Mineiro (Borta): 21.28%; Oavgjort: 29.35%. För América Mineiro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.70. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 4.68, med väntevärdet -0.412%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 12:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 05:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.412%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -17.01%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.11%E -0.460%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 12:25
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.18%E -0.699%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 04:59
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 04:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 14:03
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 12:28
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-05 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 07:08
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.63%E -6.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42%15.0%2026-08-06 14:05