Idioma:Español
Botafogo v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Botafogo (Local)
Predicción 49.37%2.03momio equitativo
EV -5.71%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -6.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.81%49.42%49.24%50.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 21.28%4.70momio equitativo
EV -0.412%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.02%21.25%21.22%23.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.244.304.6826.32%23.57%23.26%21.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.950%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.31%29.33%29.54%30.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.08%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Botafogo (Local): 49.37%; América Mineiro (Visitante): 21.28%; Empate: 29.35%. Para América Mineiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.70. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.68, con un valor esperado de -0.412%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 12:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 04:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 04:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 05:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 04:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 12:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.412%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 05:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-03 06:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-03 06:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-03 06:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-04 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 07:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -17.01%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 07:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.11%E -0.460%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.18%E -0.699%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 04:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-06 04:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-06 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-05 07:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 21:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-06 14:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-06 12:28 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-05 07:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-05 07:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.63%E -6.50%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-01 21:43 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-05 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42% | 15.0% | 2026-08-06 14:05 |