Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo v América Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-08-08 21:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 49.37%2.03quota equa
EV -5.71%
Vantaggio -2.99%
Kelly -6.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.81%49.42%49.24%50.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

América Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.28%4.70quota equa
EV -0.412%
Vantaggio -0.088%
Kelly -0.112%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.02%21.25%21.22%23.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.244.304.6826.32%23.57%23.26%21.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.35%3.41quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -0.950%
Kelly -1.36%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.31%29.33%29.54%30.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.123.103.3033.33%32.08%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Botafogo (Casa): 49.37%; América Mineiro (Trasferta): 21.28%; Pareggio: 29.35%. Per América Mineiro (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.70. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.68, con un valore atteso del -0.412%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 12:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 05:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.71%E -2.99%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 04:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.20%E -3.26%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.50%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.412%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 05:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 06:19
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.19%E -3.82%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-04 21:40
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.43%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 11:30
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.68%E -4.11%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -17.01%E -4.36%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.14%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 21:35
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.11%E -0.460%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 12:25
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.18%E -0.699%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 04:59
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 04:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.67%E -4.69%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.14%E -5.04%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.56%E -2.25%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-05 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 14:03
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.66%E -5.28%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 12:28
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.14%EV -10.64%E -5.88%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-05 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.37%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 07:08
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.86%E -1.82%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.63%E -2.53%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.14%E -6.19%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-05 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.63%E -6.50%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -12.75%E -3.11%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-05 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.24%E -0.943%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-01 21:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.20%EV -12.62%E -7.13%K -16.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -14.88%E -3.72%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-05 11:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42%15.0%2026-08-06 14:05