StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo-SP v Grêmio Novorizontino

Matchstart: 2026-09-09 22:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Botafogo-SP 1–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Botafogo-SP (Hemma)

Prognos 28.14%3.55rättvist odds
EV +0.734%
Fördel +0.205%
Kelly +0.285%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.78%28.06%28.17%29.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.253.5833.33%30.84%30.77%27.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta)

Prognos 42.65%2.34rättvist odds
EV -0.629%
Fördel -0.270%
Kelly -0.473%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.35%42.61%42.59%45.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.73%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.21%3.42rättvist odds
EV -3.60%
Fördel -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.56%29.32%29.24%31.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.54%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Botafogo-SP (Hemma): 28.14%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Borta): 42.65%; Oavgjort: 29.21%. För Botafogo-SP (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.55. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.58, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.734%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV +0.734%E +0.205%K +0.285%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-09 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -1.52%E -0.433%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 17:25
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:00
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:05
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:10
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:03
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -4.89%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:10
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:50
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:50
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 14:56
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 14:55
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 15:35
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-09 15:35
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 16:00
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 14:54
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:54
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:54
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 16:34
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 14:54
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 14:54
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 14:54
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-09 14:56
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:35
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-09 15:00
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-09 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-09 15:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-09-09 17:41
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-09-09 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-09-09 17:41