Lingua:Italiano
Botafogo-SP v Grêmio Novorizontino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Botafogo-SP (Casa)
Previsione 28.14%3.55quota equa
EV +0.734%
Vantaggio +0.205%
Kelly +0.285%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.78%28.06%28.17%29.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.253.5833.33%30.84%30.77%27.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.65%2.34quota equa
EV -0.629%
Vantaggio -0.270%
Kelly -0.473%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.35%42.61%42.59%45.11%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.73%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 29.21%3.42quota equa
EV -3.60%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.56%29.32%29.24%31.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.54%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Botafogo-SP (Casa): 28.14%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta): 42.65%; Pareggio: 29.21%. Per Botafogo-SP (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.55. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.58, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.734%.
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV +0.734%E +0.205%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -1.52%E -0.433%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -4.89%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |