Langue:Français
Botafogo-SP v Grêmio Novorizontino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prévision 28.14%3.55cote équitable
EV +0.734%
Avantage +0.205%
Kelly +0.285%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%28.06%28.17%29.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5833.33%30.84%30.77%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur)
Prévision 42.65%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.629%
Avantage -0.270%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.35%42.61%42.59%45.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.73%45.45%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%29.32%29.24%31.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.54%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo-SP (Local) : 28.14% ; Grêmio Novorizontino (Visiteur) : 42.65% ; Match nul : 29.21%. Pour Botafogo-SP (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.58, soit une espérance positive de +0.734%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV +0.734%E +0.205%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -1.52%E -0.433%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -4.89%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |