Język:Polski
Botafogo-SP v Grêmio Novorizontino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Botafogo-SP (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 28.14%3.55kurs godziwy
EV +0.734%
Przewaga +0.205%
Kelly +0.285%
Wzrost +0.002%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.58
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.78%28.06%28.17%29.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.243.253.5833.33%30.84%30.77%27.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Grêmio Novorizontino (Goście)
Prognoza 42.65%2.34kurs godziwy
EV -0.629%
Przewaga -0.270%
Kelly -0.473%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.33
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.35%42.61%42.59%45.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.192.202.3350.00%45.73%45.45%42.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 29.21%3.42kurs godziwy
EV -3.60%
Przewaga -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.56%29.32%29.24%31.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.753.073.103.3036.36%32.54%32.26%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Botafogo-SP (Gospodarze): 28.14%; Grêmio Novorizontino (Goście): 42.65%; Remis: 29.21%. Dla wyniku Botafogo-SP (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.55. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.58, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.734%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (49 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.89%EV +0.734%E +0.205%K +0.285%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.110%E -0.031%K -0.043%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -1.52%E -0.433%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.70%E -7.35%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.848%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.42%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -4.89%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -8.85%E -2.84%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.14%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.89%EV -0.629%E -0.270%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.35%EV -7.88%E -3.65%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 15:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -9.59%E -4.52%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.03%E -3.22%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.57%E -6.13%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-09 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -1.91%E -0.830%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -15.86%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-09 14:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.31%E -3.86%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-09 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.44%E -4.97%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -4.04%E -1.80%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.18%E -4.65%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.56%EV -4.89%E -2.19%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -18.20%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.81%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -19.66%E -7.15%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-09 15:00 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.76% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |