The School of Odds
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Botafogo-SP v América Mineiro

2026-08-08 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botafogo-SP (Local)

Prediction 49.39%2.02fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.81%49.43%49.24%50.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

América Mineiro (Visit)

Prediction 21.30%4.70fair odd
EV -0.328%
Edge -0.070%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%21.29%21.22%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.234.304.6826.32%23.65%23.26%21.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.31%29.28%29.54%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.143.103.3033.33%31.84%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Botafogo-SP (Local): 49.39%; América Mineiro (Visit): 21.30%; Draw: 29.31%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.68, with an expected value of -0.328%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 14:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:45
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.328%E -0.070%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 14:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:43
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-06 14:45
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.03%E -0.442%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 14:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.10%E -0.681%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-06 14:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 15:03
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 14:42
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -10.60%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -11.59%E -6.48%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.30%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -15.88%E -4.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.60%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.30%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -15.88%E -4.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.60%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 19:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42%15.0%2026-08-06 15:05