语言:简体中文
Botafogo-SP v América Mineiro
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Botafogo-SP (主队)
预测 49.65%2.01公平赔率
EV -5.17%
优势 -2.71%
Kelly -5.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
47.96%49.76%49.63%53.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.851.851.9158.82%54.10%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
América Mineiro (客队)
预测 21.40%4.67公平赔率
EV +2.70%
优势 +0.563%
Kelly +0.712%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
18.78%21.42%21.37%24.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.254.304.8026.32%23.51%23.26%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.96%3.45公平赔率
EV -0.102%
优势 -0.029%
Kelly -0.042%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.04%28.82%29.00%30.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.183.133.4533.33%31.46%31.90%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Botafogo-SP (主队)：49.65%；América Mineiro (客队)：21.40%；平局：28.96%。 对于“América Mineiro (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.67。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.80，对应+2.70%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.60%E -9.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.712%G +0.019% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.30%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.14%EV +2.06%E +0.432%K +0.547%G +0.011% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -2.64%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 20:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.71%E -0.825%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.71%E -0.825%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.50%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.00%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.35%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.00%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.00%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -9.64%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.63%E -6.53%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.63%E -6.53%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -18.69%E -4.92%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -1.55%E -0.456%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |