Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo-SP v América Mineiro

2026-08-08 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botafogo-SP (Local)

Prévision 49.39%2.02cote équitable
EV -5.66%
Avantage -2.97%
Kelly -6.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.81%49.43%49.24%50.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.851.851.9156.50%53.97%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.30%4.70cote équitable
EV -0.328%
Avantage -0.070%
Kelly -0.089%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.02%21.29%21.22%23.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.234.304.6826.32%23.65%23.26%21.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.31%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.31%29.28%29.54%30.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.143.103.3033.33%31.84%32.26%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Botafogo-SP (Local) : 49.39% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 21.30% ; Match nul : 29.31%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.70. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 4.68, pour une espérance de -0.328% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.77%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 14:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.66%E -2.97%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:45
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.67%EV -6.16%E -3.24%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 14:45
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.52%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.19%EV -0.328%E -0.070%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.81%EV -7.08%E -2.23%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 14:45
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:43
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -7.36%E -1.69%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-06 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -7.15%E -3.80%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-06 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:16
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -8.42%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.45%EV -7.64%E -4.09%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -16.94%E -4.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.27%E -0.991%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-06 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -2.03%E -0.442%K -0.564%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.72%EV -8.55%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 14:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.92%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.30%EV -3.10%E -0.681%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 14:44
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-06 14:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:45
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -8.63%E -4.66%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -19.07%E -5.02%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-06 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-06 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.94%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.49%E -2.23%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-06 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-06 14:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.10%EV -9.62%E -5.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-06 15:03
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -10.60%E -5.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -12.68%E -3.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -7.67%E -2.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-06 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.29%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-06 14:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.55%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -7.78%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-06 14:42
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.55%E -2.51%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-06 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -11.10%E -6.17%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-06 19:16
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.38%EV -11.59%E -6.48%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -14.81%E -3.70%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.925%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.13%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.30%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -15.88%E -4.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.60%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.30%EV -12.58%E -7.11%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -15.88%E -4.02%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -10.60%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-06 19:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 48.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.42%15.0%2026-08-06 15:05