Langue:Français
Botafogo-SP v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Botafogo-SP (Local)
Prévision 49.65%2.01cote équitable
EV -5.17%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -5.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.96%49.76%49.63%53.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.851.851.9158.82%54.10%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.40%4.67cote équitable
EV +2.70%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.712%
Croissance +0.019%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.78%21.42%21.37%24.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.254.304.8026.32%23.51%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.96%3.45cote équitable
EV -0.102%
Avantage -0.029%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%28.82%29.00%30.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.133.4533.33%31.46%31.90%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botafogo-SP (Local) : 49.65% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 21.40% ; Match nul : 28.96%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.67. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.70%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -15.60%E -9.18%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.712%G +0.019% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.30%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.14%EV +2.06%E +0.432%K +0.547%G +0.011% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.56%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.01%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -2.64%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 20:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -3.71%E -0.825%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -7.34%E -2.29%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 04:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -3.71%E -0.825%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.50%E -2.69%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.00%E -0.895%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.85%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.92%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 07:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.41%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -7.35%E -1.70%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-08 07:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.07%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 09:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.89%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.00%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.00%EV -9.66%E -3.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 21:23 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.36%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-08 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.79%E -2.79%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 20:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -13.13%E -4.38%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.24%EV -9.64%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.37%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.63%EV -6.66%E -3.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -0.102%E -0.029%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 21:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -10.24%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.63%E -6.53%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 21:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.29%EV -11.63%E -6.53%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -18.69%E -4.92%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -1.55%E -0.456%K -0.646%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.60% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.73% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 21:25 |