Language:English
Avai v Ponte Preta
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avai (Local)
Prediction 52.15%1.92fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.44%52.27%51.98%55.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.40%57.14%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visit)
Prediction 20.15%4.96fair odd
EV +5.79%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.079%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%20.11%20.34%21.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.684.755.2523.81%21.39%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.70%3.61fair odd
EV -0.266%
Edge -0.074%
Kelly -0.102%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%27.61%27.68%30.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.64%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avai (Local): 52.15%; Ponte Preta (Visit): 20.15%; Draw: 27.70%. For Ponte Preta (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +5.79%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV +0.552%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -12.92%E -7.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.31%E -5.99%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -13.44%E -8.10%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.92%EV -6.30%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -12.34%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |