La scuola delle quote

Avai v Ponte Preta

Inizio: 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC

Finale: Avai 1–2 Ponte Preta

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Avai (Casa)

Previsione 52.15%1.92quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.84

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.44%52.27%51.98%55.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.40%57.14%54.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.15%4.96quota equa
EV +5.79%
Vantaggio +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.079%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.82%20.11%20.34%21.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.684.755.2523.81%21.39%21.05%19.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.70%3.61quota equa
EV -0.266%
Vantaggio -0.074%
Kelly -0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.97%27.61%27.68%30.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.64%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +5.79%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV +0.552%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 23:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 23:20
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -12.92%E -7.73%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:24
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 23:25
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.31%E -5.99%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -13.44%E -8.10%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 23:25
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 23:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 23:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 23:18
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:25
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:25
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.92%EV -6.30%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 23:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:05
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 23:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 23:04
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:25
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:24
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -12.34%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 23:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.0%2026-04-18 23:25