L’École des cotesFrançais
Avai v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avai (Local)
Prévision 52.15%1.92cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.20%
Kelly -4.82%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.44%52.27%51.98%55.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.40%57.14%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.15%4.96cote équitable
EV +5.79%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.079%
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%20.11%20.34%21.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.684.755.2523.81%21.39%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.70%3.61cote équitable
EV -0.266%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%27.61%27.68%30.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.64%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +5.79%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betPARX | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV +0.552%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -12.92%E -7.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.31%E -5.99%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -13.44%E -8.10%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:18 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.92%EV -6.30%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -12.34%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |