Idioma:Español
Avai v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avai (Local)
Predicción 52.15%1.92momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.44%52.27%51.98%55.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.40%57.14%54.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 20.15%4.96momio equitativo
EV +5.79%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.079%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.82%20.11%20.34%21.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.684.755.2523.81%21.39%21.05%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.70%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.266%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.102%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%27.61%27.68%30.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.64%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Avai (Local): 52.15%; Ponte Preta (Visitante): 20.15%; Empate: 27.70%. Para Ponte Preta (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.96. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +5.79%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV +0.552%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -12.92%E -7.73%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.31%E -5.99%K -14.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -13.44%E -8.10%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.92%EV -6.30%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -12.34%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 23:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |