مدرسة الاحتمالات

Avai v Ponte Preta

البداية: 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Avai 1–2 Ponte Preta

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Avai (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.15%1.92السعر العادل
EV -4.05%
الأفضلية -2.20%
Kelly -4.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.44%52.27%51.98%55.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.631.741.751.8461.35%57.40%57.14%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ponte Preta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.15%4.96السعر العادل
EV +5.79%
الأفضلية +1.10%
Kelly +1.36%
النمو +0.079%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.82%20.11%20.34%21.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.684.755.2523.81%21.39%21.05%19.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.70%3.61السعر العادل
EV -0.266%
الأفضلية -0.074%
Kelly -0.102%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.97%27.61%27.68%30.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.64%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +5.79%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -14.12%E -4.55%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -10.83%E -6.33%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV +0.753%E +0.151%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -0.266%E -0.074%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 52.72%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.23%EV +0.552%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -5.25%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 23:20
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -9.27%E -5.33%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 23:20
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -12.92%E -7.73%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -1.26%E -0.257%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:24
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 23:25
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.31%E -5.99%K -14.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -1.65%E -0.465%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 22:40
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.35%E -3.55%K -5.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -13.44%E -8.10%K -20.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 23:25
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -3.04%E -0.868%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:24
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -13.96%E -8.46%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.28%E -0.683%K -0.862%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 23:15
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 23:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 23:18
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -8.22%E -4.67%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:25
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:25
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.08%EV -15.00%E -9.20%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -4.28%E -0.902%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.02%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 23:24
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.34%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.92%EV -6.30%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.74%EV -7.47%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 23:25
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:05
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.01%EV -7.18%E -4.03%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.35%EV -8.31%E -1.83%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:05
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.85%EV -4.05%E -2.20%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 23:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.82%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 23:05
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.39%EV -9.79%E -5.66%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.32%E -2.07%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 23:04
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -5.10%E -2.80%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.81%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:25
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.34%E -2.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:24
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -12.34%E -2.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.91%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.41%EV -7.70%E -4.35%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -12.75%E -2.94%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -14.36%E -3.38%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.58%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 23:25
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -6.14%E -3.41%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.15%EV -8.75%E -5.00%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -15.37%E -3.66%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.96%E -3.07%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 23:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60%0.6%2026-04-18 23:25
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.0%2026-04-18 23:25