Школа коэффициентов

Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino

Начало: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

Итог: Avai 3–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

47 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Avai (Хозяева)

Прогноз 37.60%2.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.61%
Преимущество -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.59

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Гости)

Прогноз 31.86%3.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.23%
Преимущество -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 30.53%3.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.29%
Преимущество -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 23:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:21
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:21
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 22:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 23:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 23:05
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 23:24
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 23:05
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 23:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 23:05
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:21
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 23:24
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 13:31
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:31
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 23:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%2.5%2026-05-03 23:20