La scuola delle quote

Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino

Inizio: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

Finale: Avai 3–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Avai (Casa)

Previsione 37.60%2.66quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.86%3.14quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.53%3.28quota equa
EV -2.29%
Vantaggio -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 23:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:21
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:21
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 22:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 23:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 23:05
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 23:24
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 23:05
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 23:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 23:05
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:21
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 23:24
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 13:31
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:31
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 23:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%2.5%2026-05-03 23:20