La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avai (Local)
Predicción 37.60%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Predicción 31.86%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.53%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| Bovada | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 13:31 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 13:31 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |