Szkoła Kursów

Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino

Początek: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Avai 3–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

47 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Avai (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.60%2.66kurs godziwy
EV -2.61%
Przewaga -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Grêmio Novorizontino (Goście)

Prognoza 31.86%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -1.23%
Przewaga -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.53%3.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.29%
Przewaga -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (47 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 23:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:21
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:21
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 22:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 23:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 23:05
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 23:24
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 23:05
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 23:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 23:05
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:21
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 23:24
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 13:31
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:31
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 23:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%2.5%2026-05-03 23:20