A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Avai (Local)
Previsão 37.60%2.66odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.59
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Grêmio Novorizontino (Visitante)
Previsão 31.86%3.14odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 30.53%3.28odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| Bovada | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 22:55 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 23:21 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 23:24 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-03 23:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 13:31 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-03 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 13:31 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 23:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 1.7% | 2026-05-03 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98% | 2.5% | 2026-05-03 23:20 |