Die Schule der Quoten

Avai v Grêmio Novorizontino

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-03 23:30 UTC

Endstand: Avai 3–3 Grêmio Novorizontino

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Avai (Heim)

Prognose 37.60%2.66faire Quote
EV -2.61%
Vorteil -1.01%
Kelly -1.64%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.59

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.30%37.70%37.55%38.94%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.442.482.5943.48%40.91%40.32%38.61%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Grêmio Novorizontino (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.86%3.14faire Quote
EV -1.23%
Vorteil -0.395%
Kelly -0.583%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
30.01%31.74%31.79%32.65%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.942.923.1036.36%34.03%34.25%32.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 30.53%3.28faire Quote
EV -2.29%
Vorteil -0.716%
Kelly -1.04%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.10%30.57%30.66%32.16%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.752.972.983.2036.36%33.65%33.56%31.25%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -2.61%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -4.43%E -1.42%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 23:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -4.11%E -1.61%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 23:21
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:15
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 37.05%EV -4.49%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.58%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 23:21
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.18%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 23:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -5.99%E -2.40%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.72%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -9.01%E -3.02%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Bovada2.49I 40.16%NM 37.11%EV -6.37%E -2.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.09%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 23:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:24
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -1.23%E -0.395%K -0.583%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 23:25
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.68%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.64%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 22:55
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.74%E -2.72%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.74%EV -6.96%E -2.38%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 23:15
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 23:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 23:05
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.87%E -3.21%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -8.62%E -3.55%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -12.06%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 23:24
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -2.29%E -0.716%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 23:05
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 23:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 23:05
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -2.82%E -0.924%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 23:21
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.19%E -3.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 23:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 23:24
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -9.75%E -4.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 23:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -10.50%E -4.41%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 23:25
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.60%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 13:31
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -11.63%E -4.95%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -4.41%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:31
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.51%E -5.87%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -12.38%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 23:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%1.7%2026-05-03 23:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.98%2.5%2026-05-03 23:20