Школа коэффициентов

Avai v Cuiabá

Начало: 2026-06-21 14:02 UTC

Итог: Avai 1–0 Cuiabá

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Avai (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.89%3.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.32%
Преимущество -0.440%
Kelly -0.660%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.33%32.82%33.07%34.94%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.732.753.0040.00%36.61%36.36%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cuiabá (Гости)

Прогноз 33.81%2.96справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.930%
Преимущество -0.317%
Kelly -0.482%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.73%33.90%33.67%35.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.712.752.9340.00%36.93%36.36%34.13%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 33.29%3.00справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -0.604%
Kelly -0.913%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.39%33.29%33.27%35.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.782.792.9541.67%35.92%35.84%33.90%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -1.32%E -0.440%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -6.68%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.33%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -0.930%E -0.317%K -0.482%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.96%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -9.44%E -3.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:58
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.72%EV -11.44%E -4.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 13:56
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.19%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:00
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -12.77%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 14:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 13:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 14:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -20.09%E -8.37%K -14.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.19%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 14:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.33%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.92%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 13:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%1.0%2026-06-21 14:00