مدرسة الاحتمالات

Avai v Cuiabá

البداية: 2026-06-21 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Avai 1–0 Cuiabá

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Avai (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.89%3.04السعر العادل
EV -1.32%
الأفضلية -0.440%
Kelly -0.660%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.33%32.82%33.07%34.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.732.753.0040.00%36.61%36.36%33.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cuiabá (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.81%2.96السعر العادل
EV -0.930%
الأفضلية -0.317%
Kelly -0.482%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.73%33.90%33.67%35.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.712.752.9340.00%36.93%36.36%34.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 33.29%3.00السعر العادل
EV -1.78%
الأفضلية -0.604%
Kelly -0.913%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.39%33.29%33.27%35.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.782.792.9541.67%35.92%35.84%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -1.32%E -0.440%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -6.68%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.33%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -0.930%E -0.317%K -0.482%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.96%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -9.44%E -3.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:58
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.72%EV -11.44%E -4.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 13:56
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.19%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:00
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -12.77%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 14:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 13:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 14:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -20.09%E -8.37%K -14.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.19%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 14:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.33%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.92%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 13:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%1.0%2026-06-21 14:00