L’École des cotesFrançais
Avai v Cuiabá
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Avai (Local)
Prévision 32.89%3.04cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.33%32.82%33.07%34.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.732.753.0040.00%36.61%36.36%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cuiabá (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.81%2.96cote équitable
EV -0.930%
Avantage -0.317%
Kelly -0.482%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.73%33.90%33.67%35.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.752.9340.00%36.93%36.36%34.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 33.29%3.00cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.604%
Kelly -0.913%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.39%33.29%33.27%35.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.782.792.9541.67%35.92%35.84%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -1.32%E -0.440%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -6.68%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.33%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -0.930%E -0.317%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.96%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -9.44%E -3.47%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 13:58 |
| Bovada | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.72%EV -11.44%E -4.30%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-21 13:56 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.19%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -12.77%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -20.09%E -8.37%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.19%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.33%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.92%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 0.5% | 2026-06-21 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15% | 1.0% | 2026-06-21 14:00 |