A Escola das Odds

Avai v Cuiabá

Início: 2026-06-21 14:02 UTC

Final: Avai 1–0 Cuiabá

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Avai (Local)

Previsão 32.89%3.04odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.440%
Kelly -0.660%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.33%32.82%33.07%34.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.732.753.0040.00%36.61%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cuiabá (Visitante)

Previsão 33.81%2.96odd justa
EV -0.930%
Vantagem -0.317%
Kelly -0.482%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.73%33.90%33.67%35.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.712.752.9340.00%36.93%36.36%34.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.29%3.00odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.604%
Kelly -0.913%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.39%33.29%33.27%35.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.782.792.9541.67%35.92%35.84%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -1.32%E -0.440%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -6.68%E -2.42%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.41%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.33%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.88%EV -0.930%E -0.317%K -0.482%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.78%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.98%E -0.664%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.42%EV -8.77%E -3.20%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 13:59
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Marathon Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.96%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -9.44%E -3.47%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -4.61%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:58
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.72%EV -11.44%E -4.30%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 13:56
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.19%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.59%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.22%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-21 14:00
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -6.25%E -2.19%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.30%EV -7.69%E -2.82%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.85%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -3.45%E -1.19%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.41%EV -12.77%E -4.87%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 14:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -8.56%E -3.08%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -6.00%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-21 13:59
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 14:00
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -5.33%E -1.90%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-21 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 13:59
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -8.71%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.54%EV -10.10%E -3.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 14:00
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -9.54%E -3.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -20.09%E -8.37%K -14.35%G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -11.19%E -4.14%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -5.11%E -1.79%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 14:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.94%EV -12.83%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.02%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.39%EV -1.78%E -0.604%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -13.49%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.02%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.41%E -4.36%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-21 14:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.33%EV -13.82%E -5.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.92%EV -15.47%E -6.19%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.70%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 13:59
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 34.72%EV -16.12%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.66%EV -11.07%E -4.21%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -6.78%E -2.42%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-21 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -17.77%E -7.11%K -11.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.09%E -4.65%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -8.44%E -3.07%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-21 13:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%0.5%2026-06-21 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.99%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%0.8%2026-06-21 14:00
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.94%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.15%1.0%2026-06-21 14:00