Language:English
Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prediction 69.60%1.44fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -6.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%69.50%69.53%72.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.52%74.63%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visit)
Prediction 9.89%10.11fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.245%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 10.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%10.05%9.95%12.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.648.6010.3414.29%11.58%11.63%9.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.50%4.88fair odd
EV +0.462%
Edge +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.40%20.45%20.52%22.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.354.9025.00%22.75%22.99%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atletico Goianiense (Local): 69.60%; Ponte Preta (Visit): 9.89%; Draw: 20.50%. For Ponte Preta (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 10.34I 9.67%NM 9.24%EV +2.29%E +0.222%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -1.59%E -0.331%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV -1.86%E -0.188%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -3.43%E -0.729%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.47%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.99%E -10.40%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV +0.462%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -7.01%E -0.746%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -8.99%E -0.977%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.30%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.86%E -3.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.58%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -12.94%E -1.47%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -14.92%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -18.39%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 70.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 9.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 20.04% | -4.0% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.29% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |