مدرسة الاحتمالات

Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta

البداية: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Ponte Preta

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.60%1.44السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.82%
Kelly -6.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.51%69.50%69.53%72.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.52%74.63%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ponte Preta (الضيف)

التنبؤ 9.89%10.11السعر العادل
EV +2.29%
الأفضلية +0.222%
Kelly +0.245%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.24%10.05%9.95%12.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.008.648.6010.3414.29%11.58%11.63%9.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.50%4.88السعر العادل
EV +0.462%
الأفضلية +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.40%20.45%20.52%22.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.404.354.9025.00%22.75%22.99%20.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%10.34I 9.67%NM 9.24%EV +2.29%E +0.222%K +0.245%G +0.006%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:50
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -1.59%E -0.331%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:49
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 18:49
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000%9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV -1.86%E -0.188%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -3.43%E -0.729%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.47%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 18:48
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-28 18:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.99%E -10.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV +0.462%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%10.9%2026-06-28 18:49
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -7.01%E -0.746%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 18:49
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -8.99%E -0.977%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.30%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.86%E -3.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-28 18:49
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 18:50
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.58%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -12.94%E -1.47%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -14.92%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 18:49
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 18:49
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-28 18:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -18.39%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-28 18:48
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:49
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-28 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-28 18:49
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-28 18:49
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:50
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 70.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 20.04%-4.0%2026-06-28 18:50
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.29%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:50