La escuela de los momiosAtletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Predicción 69.60%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -6.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.51%69.50%69.53%72.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.52%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 9.89%10.11momio equitativo
EV +2.29%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.245%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.24%10.05%9.95%12.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.648.6010.3414.29%11.58%11.63%9.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.50%4.88momio equitativo
EV +0.462%
Ventaja +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.40%20.45%20.52%22.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.354.9025.00%22.75%22.99%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 10.34I 9.67%NM 9.24%EV +2.29%E +0.222%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -1.59%E -0.331%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV -1.86%E -0.188%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -3.43%E -0.729%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.47%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.99%E -10.40%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV +0.462%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -7.01%E -0.746%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -8.99%E -0.977%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.30%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.86%E -3.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.58%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -12.94%E -1.47%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -14.92%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -18.39%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 70.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 9.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 20.04% | -4.0% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.29% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |