Langue:Français
Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Prévision 69.60%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -6.38%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.51%69.50%69.53%72.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.52%74.63%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.89%10.11cote équitable
EV +2.29%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.245%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 10.34
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.24%10.05%9.95%12.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.008.648.6010.3414.29%11.58%11.63%9.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.50%4.88cote équitable
EV +0.462%
Avantage +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.40%20.45%20.52%22.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.354.9025.00%22.75%22.99%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atletico Goianiense (Local) : 69.60% ; Ponte Preta (Visiteur) : 9.89% ; Match nul : 20.50%. Pour Ponte Preta (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.11. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.34, soit une espérance positive de +2.29%.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 10.34I 9.67%NM 9.24%EV +2.29%E +0.222%K +0.245%G +0.006% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -1.59%E -0.331%K -0.418%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV -1.86%E -0.188%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -3.43%E -0.729%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.47%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.99%E -10.40%K -51.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV +0.462%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -7.01%E -0.746%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -8.99%E -0.977%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.30%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.86%E -3.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.58%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -12.94%E -1.47%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -14.92%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -18.39%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-28 18:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 70.89% | 11.49I 8.70%NM 9.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 20.04% | -4.0% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.29% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12% | 0.6% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 18:50 |