A Escola das Odds

Atletico Goianiense v Ponte Preta

Início: 2026-06-28 19:00 UTC

Final: Atletico Goianiense 2–0 Ponte Preta

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Previsão 69.60%1.44odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -6.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.51%69.50%69.53%72.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.341.341.4080.00%74.52%74.63%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Visitante)

Previsão 9.89%10.11odd justa
EV +2.29%
Vantagem +0.222%
Kelly +0.245%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.24%10.05%9.95%12.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.648.6010.3414.29%11.58%11.63%9.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.50%4.88odd justa
EV +0.462%
Vantagem +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.40%20.45%20.52%22.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.404.354.9025.00%22.75%22.99%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 70.22%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%10.34I 9.67%NM 9.24%EV +2.29%E +0.222%K +0.245%G +0.006%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.54%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-28 18:50
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.76%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -1.59%E -0.331%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-28 18:49
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.61%E -0.550%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 18:49
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 70.94%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV -1.07%E -0.107%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%EV -3.64%E -0.774%K -0.983%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-28 18:49
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.76%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000%9.92I 10.08%NM 9.42%EV -1.86%E -0.188%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.83%EV -3.43%E -0.729%K -0.925%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 70.47%EV -8.82%E -6.73%K -28.44%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.405%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-28 18:48
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.81%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.02%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-28 18:50
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.66%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:50
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:49
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.10%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.67%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.11%EV -12.99%E -10.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.49%EV -6.02%E -0.634%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV +0.462%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%10.9%2026-06-28 18:49
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.94%EV -7.01%E -0.746%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 18:49
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.06%EV -8.12%E -6.15%K -25.38%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.05%EV -8.99%E -0.977%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.44%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.69%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 18:49
PointsBet (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.30%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -12.86%E -3.03%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-28 18:49
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -10.97%E -1.22%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 18:50
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.58%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.52%EV -12.94%E -1.47%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.66%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.96%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.66%EV -14.92%E -1.74%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.74%E -1.72%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-28 18:49
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 67.20%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-28 18:49
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 67.88%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.51%E -7.32%K -31.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -15.91%E -1.87%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-28 18:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 68.01%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV -18.39%E -2.23%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.79%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-28 18:48
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:50
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.81%EV -2.55%E -1.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -10.81%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.87%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -20.86%E -2.61%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -11.22%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-28 18:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -3.95%E -2.86%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 18:49
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -7.43%E -5.58%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -25.80%E -3.44%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.89%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-28 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-28 18:49
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 65.53%EV -5.34%E -3.92%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-28 18:49
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 65.70%EV -6.03%E -4.47%K -17.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.63%EV -15.94%E -3.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-28 18:49
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:50
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -5.02%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -30.75%E -4.39%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -17.99%E -4.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-28 18:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 70.89%11.49I 8.70%NM 9.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 20.04%-4.0%2026-06-28 18:50
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.59%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.29%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%0.6%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.73%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-06-28 18:50