The School of OddsAtletico Goianiense v Fortaleza
Head to Head
Option 1: Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.3442.75%Mean
2.3542.55%Median
2.4640.65%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.97%2.633Min
39.92%2.505Max
38.89%2.572Mean
38.85%2.574Median
38.94%2.568IQM
38.86%2.573Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.46 under the IQM model: 38.94%
EV -4.20%Edge -1.71%Kelly -2.88%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Fortaleza (Visit)
Odds
2.8535.09%Min
3.0233.16%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.4429.07%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.54%3.631Min
31.65%3.160Max
29.97%3.337Mean
30.26%3.305Median
30.24%3.307IQM
29.78%3.358Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.44 under the IQM model: 30.24%
EV +4.02%Edge +1.17%Kelly +1.65%Growth +0.066%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
2.7236.76%Min
2.9933.41%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.2031.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.17%3.428Min
34.06%2.936Max
31.15%3.210Mean
30.89%3.237Median
30.82%3.245IQM
31.35%3.189Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 30.82%
EV -1.38%Edge -0.431%Kelly -0.626%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Atletico Goianiense (Local) | Fortaleza (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65% NM 38.51%EV -4.20% E -1.71% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07% NM 27.54%EV +4.02% E +1.17% K +1.65% G +0.066% | 2.79I 35.84% NM 33.95%EV -14.01% E -5.02% K -7.83% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32% NM 38.28%EV -5.76% E -2.38% K -4.06% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.66%EV +1.30% E +0.388% K +0.554% G +0.007% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 34.06%EV -16.17% E -5.95% K -9.40% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32% NM 38.28%EV -5.76% E -2.38% K -4.06% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.66%EV +1.30% E +0.388% K +0.554% G +0.007% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 34.06%EV -16.17% E -5.95% K -9.40% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 23:19 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.48%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.57%EV +1.30% E +0.388% K +0.554% G +0.007% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 33.95%EV -16.17% E -5.95% K -9.40% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 23:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49% NM 38.67%EV -6.15% E -2.55% K -4.36% G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21% NM 28.16%EV +0.092% E +0.028% K +0.040% G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59% NM 33.17%EV -13.40% E -4.77% K -7.40% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.85%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.08%EV -6.26% E -2.02% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.08%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 22:34 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.35%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.83%EV -6.26% E -2.02% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.82%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.35%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.83%EV -6.26% E -2.02% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.82%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.35%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.83%EV -6.26% E -2.02% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.82%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.85%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.57%EV -7.77% E -2.55% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 30.57%EV -6.00% E -1.97% K -2.93% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.47%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.76%EV -7.77% E -2.55% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 30.77%EV -9.08% E -3.08% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:25 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:24 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.72%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.11%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.17%EV -1.38% E -0.431% K -0.626% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 21:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55% NM 38.76%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.36%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 30.88%EV -9.08% E -3.08% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55% NM 38.76%EV -8.49% E -3.61% K -6.29% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.36%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 30.88%EV -9.08% E -3.08% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 23:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.07%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.95%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.98%EV -10.62% E -3.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 22:24 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.98%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.89%EV -9.28% E -3.09% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.13%EV -11.24% E -3.90% K -5.98% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.66%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 30.92%EV -10.79% E -3.66% K -5.54% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.42%EV -4.46% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-05 21:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44% NM 39.78%EV -12.38% E -5.50% K -9.91% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.87%EV -12.31% E -4.24% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.35%EV -6.00% E -1.97% K -2.93% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-05 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.67%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -12.31% E -4.24% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -10.62% E -3.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.67%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -12.31% E -4.24% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -10.62% E -3.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.67%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -12.31% E -4.24% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -10.62% E -3.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 23:24 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48% NM 38.67%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -12.31% E -4.24% K -6.48% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 30.67%EV -10.62% E -3.66% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.97%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.65%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.38%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 23:19 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.97%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.65%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.38%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.97%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.65%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.38%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 37.97%EV -6.54% E -2.73% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.65%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.38%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.36%EV -10.43% E -4.54% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.43%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.20%EV -4.46% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 39.70%EV -12.38% E -5.50% K -9.91% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 31.01%EV -12.91% E -4.48% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.29%EV -6.00% E -1.97% K -2.93% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-05 21:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84% NM 39.59%EV -13.16% E -5.90% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 30.98%EV -13.82% E -4.85% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.43%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-05 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 39.92%EV -14.33% E -6.51% K -11.94% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 30.81%EV -13.82% E -4.85% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.27%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-05 21:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45% NM 39.92%EV -14.33% E -6.51% K -11.94% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 30.81%EV -13.82% E -4.85% K -7.47% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.27%EV -7.54% E -2.51% K -3.77% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-05 21:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Atletico Goianiense (Local) | Fortaleza (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45% | 2.88I 34.72% | 2.78I 35.97% | 16.1% | 2026-07-05 23:30 |