La escuela de los momiosAtletico Goianiense v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Goianiense (Local)
Predicción 38.22%2.62momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.93%38.25%38.23%39.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.392.402.5243.86%41.81%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 32.50%3.08momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.41%32.53%32.47%33.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.822.852.9237.04%35.40%35.09%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.459%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.191%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.34%29.23%29.30%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.06%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -10.12%E -3.30%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -0.459%E -0.135%K -0.191%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.92%E -0.574%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| betano_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 20:46 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.79%E -4.15%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01% | 0.6% | 2026-07-12 20:59 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 21:00 |