Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Goianiense v Fortaleza

Начало: 2026-07-12 21:02 UTC

Итог: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 38.22%2.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.67%
Преимущество -1.46%
Kelly -2.42%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.52

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.93%38.25%38.23%39.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.282.392.402.5243.86%41.81%41.67%39.68%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fortaleza (Гости)

Прогноз 32.50%3.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.10%
Преимущество -1.75%
Kelly -2.66%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.92

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.41%32.53%32.47%33.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.702.822.852.9237.04%35.40%35.09%34.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.28%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.459%
Преимущество -0.135%
Kelly -0.191%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.34%29.23%29.30%31.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.06%32.26%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -10.12%E -3.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -0.459%E -0.135%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 20:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 20:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.92%E -0.574%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 21:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 21:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 20:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 20:59
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 20:59
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 21:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 20:46
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.79%E -4.15%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 20:59
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 20:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 20:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 20:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-12 20:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-07-12 20:59
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00