A Escola das Odds

Atletico Goianiense v Fortaleza

Início: 2026-07-12 21:02 UTC

Final: Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Previsão 38.22%2.62odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.93%38.25%38.23%39.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.282.392.402.5243.86%41.81%41.67%39.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortaleza (Visitante)

Previsão 32.50%3.08odd justa
EV -5.10%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.41%32.53%32.47%33.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.822.852.9237.04%35.40%35.09%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.28%3.42odd justa
EV -0.459%
Vantagem -0.135%
Kelly -0.191%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.34%29.23%29.30%31.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.06%32.26%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -10.12%E -3.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -0.459%E -0.135%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 20:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 20:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.92%E -0.574%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 21:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 21:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 20:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 20:59
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 20:59
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 21:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 20:46
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.79%E -4.15%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 20:59
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 20:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 20:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 20:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-12 20:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-07-12 20:59
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00