L’École des cotes

Atletico Goianiense v Fortaleza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 21:02 UTC

Score final : Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Goianiense (Local)

Prévision 38.22%2.62cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.93%38.25%38.23%39.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.392.402.5243.86%41.81%41.67%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.50%3.08cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.41%32.53%32.47%33.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.822.852.9237.04%35.40%35.09%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.28%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.459%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.191%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.34%29.23%29.30%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.123.103.4034.48%32.06%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -3.67%E -1.46%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.45%EV -10.12%E -3.30%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 20:59
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -4.44%E -1.78%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.68%EV -4.82%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.33%EV -0.459%E -0.135%K -0.191%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.10%E -5.21%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 20:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.35%E -2.59%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -6.73%E -2.76%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 20:59
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.32%EV -7.50%E -3.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.76%EV -5.10%E -1.75%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 20:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -1.92%E -0.574%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 21:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -5.75%E -1.98%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 21:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.40%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.78%E -2.47%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Codere (IT)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-12 20:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 20:59
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 20:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 20:59
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.26%E -3.44%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 20:59
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -4.85%E -1.49%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 21:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 20:46
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.03%E -3.79%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 20:59
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.79%E -4.15%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.17%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.38%E -2.59%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 20:59
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.62%EV -11.32%E -4.88%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -10.71%E -3.51%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 20:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -6.40%E -2.22%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.25%E -4.54%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -3.39%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 20:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.24%E -2.98%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -9.00%E -3.22%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-12 20:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -12.08%E -5.25%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.17%E -4.06%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-12 20:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -12.85%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.63%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.70%EV -13.63%E -4.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-12 20:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-07-12 20:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.42%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-07-12 20:59
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-07-12 21:00