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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta

开赛时间： 2026-03-22 21:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Athletic Club (MG) (主队)

预测 44.72%2.24公平赔率
EV -3.41%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -2.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.16

博彩公司预测分布
42.34%44.71%44.74%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.80%48.78%46.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ponte Preta (客队)

预测 25.48%3.92公平赔率
EV -0.611%
优势 -0.157%
Kelly -0.211%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
23.20%25.45%25.45%27.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.37%27.40%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.80%3.36公平赔率
EV -3.16%
优势 -0.971%
Kelly -1.40%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.67%29.83%29.81%31.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.053.103.2536.36%32.81%32.26%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Athletic Club (MG) (主队)：44.72%；Ponte Preta (客队)：25.48%；平局：29.80%。 对于“Ponte Preta (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.90，期望值为-0.611%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.51%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:58
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:58
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.16%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 21:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 20:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.78%E -4.30%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -18.05%E -6.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.06%EV -11.91%E -6.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 21:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.04%E -7.91%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 20:58
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%2.9%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%3.3%2026-03-22 21:00
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 44.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%3.7%2026-03-22 21:00