StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta

Matchstart: 2026-03-22 21:02 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma)

Prognos 44.72%2.24rättvist odds
EV -3.41%
Fördel -1.58%
Kelly -2.94%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.34%44.71%44.74%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.80%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Borta)

Prognos 25.48%3.92rättvist odds
EV -0.611%
Fördel -0.157%
Kelly -0.211%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.20%25.45%25.45%27.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.37%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.80%3.36rättvist odds
EV -3.16%
Fördel -0.971%
Kelly -1.40%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.67%29.83%29.81%31.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.053.103.2536.36%32.81%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Athletic Club (MG) (Hemma): 44.72%; Ponte Preta (Borta): 25.48%; Oavgjort: 29.80%. För Ponte Preta (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.92. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.90, med väntevärdet -0.611%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.51%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:58
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:58
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.16%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 21:00
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 20:59
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.78%E -4.30%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:53
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -18.05%E -6.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 20:59
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.06%EV -11.91%E -6.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 21:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.04%E -7.91%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 20:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%2.9%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%3.3%2026-03-22 21:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%3.7%2026-03-22 21:00