La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 44.72%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.34%44.71%44.74%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.80%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ponte Preta (Visitante)
Predicción 25.48%3.92momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.157%
Kelly -0.211%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.20%25.45%25.45%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.37%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.80%3.36momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -0.971%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.83%29.81%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.053.103.2536.36%32.81%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.51%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.16%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.78%E -4.30%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 20:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -18.05%E -6.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.06%EV -11.91%E -6.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.04%E -7.91%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |