L’École des cotesFrançais
Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 44.72%2.24cote équitable
EV -3.41%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.16
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.34%44.71%44.74%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.80%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.48%3.92cote équitable
EV -0.611%
Avantage -0.157%
Kelly -0.211%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.20%25.45%25.45%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.37%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -0.971%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.83%29.81%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.053.103.2536.36%32.81%32.26%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.51%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.16%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.78%E -4.30%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 20:53 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -18.05%E -6.57%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-22 20:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.06%EV -11.91%E -6.04%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.04%E -7.91%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 20:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18% | 2.0% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |