A Escola das Odds

Athletic Club (MG) v Ponte Preta

Início: 2026-03-22 21:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Local)

Previsão 44.72%2.24odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.34%44.71%44.74%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.052.052.1652.63%48.80%48.78%46.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ponte Preta (Visitante)

Previsão 25.48%3.92odd justa
EV -0.611%
Vantagem -0.157%
Kelly -0.211%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.20%25.45%25.45%27.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.653.653.9030.30%27.37%27.40%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.80%3.36odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -0.971%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%29.83%29.81%31.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.053.103.2536.36%32.81%32.26%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.51%EV -3.41%E -1.58%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 20:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 42.34%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -15.90%E -4.82%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-22 21:00
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 20:58
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 21:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 21:00
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:58
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -9.53%E -2.68%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 20:59
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -6.14%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 21:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -3.16%E -0.971%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 21:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 21:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.26%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 20:59
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 20:59
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 20:59
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -6.98%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 21:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-22 20:59
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.71%EV -8.78%E -4.30%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -1.88%E -0.490%K -0.661%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:53
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.16%E -0.831%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -10.57%E -5.28%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -13.35%E -3.93%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -18.05%E -6.57%K -10.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-22 20:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.06%EV -11.91%E -6.04%K -12.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -12.35%E -6.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-22 21:00
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -4.43%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-22 21:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -12.80%E -6.56%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.80%E -3.09%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-22 21:00
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -15.04%E -7.91%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -0.611%E -0.157%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -7.63%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 20:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.99%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.18%2.0%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.4%2026-03-22 21:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.38%2.9%2026-03-22 21:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%3.3%2026-03-22 21:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%3.7%2026-03-22 21:00