Школа коэффициентов

Athletic Club (MG) v Fortaleza

Начало: 2026-05-30 21:02 UTC

Итог: Athletic Club (MG) 1–0 Fortaleza

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Хозяева)

Прогноз 35.83%2.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.48%
Преимущество -0.537%
Kelly -0.844%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.00%35.61%35.92%36.95%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Fortaleza (Гости)

Прогноз 32.15%3.11справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.55%
Преимущество -1.18%
Kelly -1.78%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
31.43%32.44%32.02%34.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.48%35.71%33.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 32.02%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.33%
Преимущество -0.763%
Kelly -1.14%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.80%31.95%32.06%33.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.70%34.72%32.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -1.48%E -0.537%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -10.94%E -3.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:52
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.98%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.33%E -0.763%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 20:59
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 21:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.09%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 21:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 21:00
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 21:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 21:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 20:58
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -15.77%E -6.02%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.90%EV -7.93%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -5.80%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -9.37%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 20:58
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 20:59
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 21:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.45%E -5.87%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 20:58
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-05-30 21:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-05-30 21:00