La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Athletic Club (MG) v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Predicción 35.83%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.844%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.00%35.61%35.92%36.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 32.15%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.43%32.44%32.02%34.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.48%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.02%3.12momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.80%31.95%32.06%33.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.70%34.72%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -1.48%E -0.537%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -10.94%E -3.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:52 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.98%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.33%E -0.763%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.09%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -15.77%E -6.02%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Bovada | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.90%EV -7.93%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -5.80%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -9.37%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.45%E -5.87%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.6% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |