A Escola das Odds

Athletic Club (MG) v Fortaleza

Início: 2026-05-30 21:02 UTC

Final: Athletic Club (MG) 1–0 Fortaleza

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Athletic Club (MG) (Local)

Previsão 35.83%2.79odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -0.844%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.00%35.61%35.92%36.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortaleza (Visitante)

Previsão 32.15%3.11odd justa
EV -3.55%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.43%32.44%32.02%34.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.48%35.71%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.02%3.12odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -0.763%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.80%31.95%32.06%33.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.70%34.72%32.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -1.48%E -0.537%K -0.844%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -10.94%E -3.95%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 21:00
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:52
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.98%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.33%E -0.763%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 20:59
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 21:00
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 21:00
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.09%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 21:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 20:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 21:00
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 21:00
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 21:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 21:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 21:00
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 20:58
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -15.77%E -6.02%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 20:59
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 35.90%EV -7.93%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -5.80%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -9.37%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 20:58
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 20:59
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 21:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 20:59
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 21:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.45%E -5.87%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-30 21:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-30 20:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-30 21:00
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%1.8%2026-05-30 21:00
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%2.6%2026-05-30 21:00