L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Athletic Club (MG) v Fortaleza
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Athletic Club (MG) (Local)
Prévision 35.83%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.844%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.00%35.61%35.92%36.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.41%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fortaleza (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.15%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.43%32.44%32.02%34.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.822.803.0038.17%35.48%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.02%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.80%31.95%32.06%33.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.882.883.0538.02%34.70%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -1.48%E -0.537%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -10.94%E -3.95%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:52 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -3.27%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.93%E -1.31%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.92%EV -3.98%E -1.49%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.52%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -2.33%E -0.763%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -5.06%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.58%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -5.53%E -1.87%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -3.55%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.51%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.09%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -7.41%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.94%E -4.34%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -13.54%E -5.01%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -4.84%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.86%EV -5.21%E -1.76%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.91%EV -14.80%E -5.59%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -6.85%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -15.77%E -6.02%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -7.57%E -2.93%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -6.12%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Bovada | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.90%EV -7.93%E -3.08%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -5.80%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.60%EV -9.37%E -3.31%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV -5.16%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -6.77%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.52%EV -7.13%E -2.46%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.34%EV -8.64%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.29%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.37%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -8.73%E -3.06%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -9.98%E -3.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -10.33%E -3.69%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-30 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.45%E -5.87%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.78%E -6.00%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.25%EV -11.59%E -4.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.80%EV -7.77%E -2.70%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-30 20:58 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.57% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48% | 2.6% | 2026-05-30 21:00 |